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On winners and losers by underground

Like the sadist I am, sometimes I like to watch Fox News, cheerleaders of religious conservatism, where the likes of O’Reilly and Hannity make the most ridiculous assertions. According to Hannity, Obama is a socialist because of the US’s increasing deficit, despite George W Bush’s efforts to plunge the surplus he inherited into the red. Yesterday, I enjoyed Hannity slating the network’s opposition for their criticism of the Fox-endorsed anti-Obama “tea party” protests. While I believe it is part of the media role to often advocate a cause, organising anti-government protests is hardly fair and unbiased. And who are the people protesting? They are not the millions who took to the streets objecting to Bush’s illegal war and the erosion of civil liberties. They are tens of thousands of people who voted for the guy that did not win a democratic election last year. They are the sorest of losers, who supported a failed president for eight years and have written off the guy who inherited his mess; a troubled economy and a fractured nation. They are Hannity and Co.’s rent-a-crowd.

In New Zealand, the Left have had to stomach a National Government for six months and, even more difficult, the realisation that John Key is not as bad as previously believed. Key’s empty rhetoric and lack of substance pre-election concerned many, but his inclusive, measured governance has caused a re-think from many. There are indications unpopular policy may be in the pipeline and their pre-Christmas rush and their 100-day inaction may have given opponents some amnunition, but for the time being it’s plain sailing for the Government. The losers of the last election will need to regroup and consider their moves for the future. Let’s not see the pathetic sore-loser response shown by the tea baggers across the Pacific.



Sore losers or bad winners? by underground

Elections are always going to leave one section of voters elated and the other disappointed. The victors and their supporters will seek to quickly bring up the changes they’ve desired throughout the campaign. There will be some soul searching and some hard questions asked, but eventually those defeated and their supporters will move on and live to fight another day. There will be some venting, comments posted on message boards and blogs. There will be some sour grapes, but there will also be some insightful analysis and considered commentary. However many on the right slate those on the left as being sore losers for whatever comment they make on the election result on Nov 8. People have rightly said that National does not have the mandate to, along with Act, steer the country hard to the right. The election result was not a sign that New Zealand has shifted to the right, because National has gone to great lengths to adopt much of Labour’s policies and shift itself far further to the left then it was under Don Brash. National are going to find it difficult to govern this term, economic crisis aside, as the government formed comprises of many conflicting ideologies. National may have won the election my a large margin, but Labour did not lose because voters rejected the party, they merely support change. To point this out to people is not sour grapes or being a sore loser, it is merely stating fact. However rather than argue these assertions made often by those on left, many choose to brag “we won, you lost”, stoked that “Helengrad’s dykocracy” has ceased to be. Just like prior to the election many National supporters could not articulate why they supported the party apart from saying “it is time for change” and “Labour’s fucked up the country”, they can also not engage in debate or conversation following the election. Morons will only make eventual Labour victory all the more sweeter for supporters, but I encourage them to be more humble than their unintelligent counterparts.

Just as many on the left sometimes disown some of their comrades for ill thought out comments, well done those on the right capable of doing the same, and engaging in civilised discussion with opponents. Debate should not be silenced by personal attacks and slogans, although we can all be guilty at times.



The good, the bad and the ugly – The ministers in National’s new government by underground

John Key has shown some promise, and left even his doubters reconsidering their opinions of the man, with the new ministers he announced yesterday. Of course those on the Left are never going to be happy with a National-led government, but there are some signals that, at least for the first term, National will be sticking to the centre ground. It is certainly a lot more pleasant than anything I could have imagined Don Brash coming up with had he won in 2005. The likes of Paula Bennett with the social development portfolio may temper National’s tendency to screw over those on the bottom of the heap, as will the inclusion of Tariana Turia and Peter Sharples from the Maori Party. Turia is minister of the community and voluntary sector and Sharples is Maori affairs minister, which must be reassuring for many Maori. National has given the Maori Party more than Labour managed, particularly when they dropped the ball siding with New Zealand First and Greens in 2005, shunning the more principled partners of the Greens and the Maori. National has trumped Labour in their post election arrangements here, although they have created a four-headed monster after warning of the perils of something similar from Labour. Another example of National Party hypocrisy, expect more to come! Continue reading



My impressions of future New Zealand Prime Minister Phil Goff by underground

A month or so back, I saw then trade minister Phil Goff speak at a pre-election foreign affairs debate at the Owen Glenn Building at Auckland University. Despite the high calibre of political minds present, an unfortunately small crowd attended, made to appear even smaller by the huge venue. It is a shame that more did not get to witness the debate, as one politician clearly stood out above all others. Labour’s Phil Goff left his opponents in his wake; Jim Anderton was the next most impressive, a strong debater with a quick wit, Gordon Copeland was good although naive at times, Keith Locke was knowledgeable but lack assertion, and Act’s Peter Tashkoff has been living in a cave. Even National’s Tim Groser seemed to agree Goff was in a league of his own, in that despite his clear trade experience he seemed more ready to point to Goff’s superb record than illustrate his own credentials or National’s focuses in the area. When questions were fired at the stage from the audience Goff readily took the lead, fielding most the questions no matter how hostile. Almost as though intimidated, most of the other debaters left him to it, with the exception of Anderton and perhaps Locke and Grosser. I still remember the fiery response Goff gave a Communist League candidate in the audience who launched into Goff on Afghanistan. The crowd seemed universally impressed, as did the candidates. Most remarkable was how he spoke. Whilst others stood, at times, timidly behind the microphone (Locke frequently had calls to speak up), Goff walked across the stage, right up to the audience and without amplification his voice still filled the auditorium. There is something immediately impressive about someone who can speak clearly at such a volume, good humoured, not aggressive, assertive and at ease. John Key is going to have his hands full in the debating chamber at parliament and in campaign debates in three years time. Continue reading



Not what New Zealand voted for, but what New Zealand wanted by underground

Considering National has had to adopt so many Labour policies, with National winning the election it is fair to say the only change most New Zealanders wanted was Helen Clark. Although I think the anti-Clark sentiment is completely unfair, the people have spoken, won over by a campaign devoid of substance and policy, rather built on empty rhetoric and sloganeering. With that in mind, it is safe to say, as most analysts have, that National have not a mandate to revert to the policies of the nineties. If the “hidden agenda” creeps into policy, they’ll be gone by lunchtime. The election was not a swing to the right for the electorate, as some have said. And Key appears to be aware of this, getting the Maori party onside has effectively weakened the bargaining strength of an Act party pushing round their weight and seek undue influence considering their small vote. To most people’s pleasure, they could find themselves undermined or cut out altogether. Winnie would be happy!

New Zealand has got what they wanted, a Labour Party without Clark. Although not in government, with Phil Goff at the helm, it is only a matter of time. Congratulations Goff, give ’em hell!

The next three years should very interesting!



Our saint has arrived! by naturalhighnz
November 10, 2008, 8:35 am
Filed under: New Zealand Election 08, Politics | Tags: , , ,

On waking up today I was greeted by the host of articles about our new, already beloved Leader. Stories of John Key’s desire to help “all” New Zealanders. A story of John Key’s fantastic sense of humour in the NZ Herald when he joked with his family that a puppy was not on the way, because that’s what Obama had promised his kids, but wait, maybe a puppy is on the way! The NZ Herald made light of John Key’s reputation for flip-flopping in this instance, and it really seems as though John Key might truly be Obamaesque change if you believe the Herald. The term “all New Zealanders” must be rather exclusive, because with a range of anti-union and anti-worker policies on John Key’s desk, it seems he is looking out for very different interests to Obama.

Personally, it disturbs me to think that a man like John Key can even draw on comparisons between himself and Obama, and that our beloved media are now even doing the work for him. It seems that if your a politician on the right of the spectrum you rarely have to lift a finger these days, as your profile will be taken care of by the media. Compare this to the misinformation spread about the section 59 repeal and its “perceived” law against smacking a child which the media perpetuated and it truly makes you wonder. The reality of the law being that only the legal argument of reasonable force was removed, but not what constitutes child abuse.

Thankfully in the face of the weakening media and the lack of background checks and research, we have a committed blogosphere where we can get a better handle on where things are actually going. Personally I look forward to be fired from my job after 89 days for no reason. At least it means I’ll get a range of work experience and will be doing my bit to get NZ back on track.

-NATURALHIGHNZ



Was this really the voice of the people? by underground

Sure it might be a bit sour grapes, but the election result is not quite indicative of how New Zealand voted yesterday. Even though we are fortunate to live under MMP, which ensures most voters are counted, this year’s result clearly illustrates that changes must be made to the system. As much as I can’t stand Winston Peters at times, more people voted for his party than Act, United Future or the Progressives, yet under the absurdities of the system as it is they get MPs whilst New Zealand First does not. In fact 88,072 (without special votes) cast their vote for New Zealand First but each has been effectively disenfranchised. Meanwhile Act with only 3.72 per cent of the vote has five MPs and the greatest influence on power.

Legal Beagle at Public Address worked out what the results would have been if the House of Representatives no threshold:

New Zealand National Party – 55 seats
New Zealand Labour Party – 41 seats
The Greens – 8 seats
New Zealand First Party – 5 seats
Māori Party – 5 seats
Act New Zealand – 4 seats
Jim Anderton’s Progressive – 1 seat
United Future New Zealand – 1 seat
The Kiwi Party – 1 seat
The Bill and Ben Party – 1 seat

With those numbers, coalition arrangements would be entirely different:

Nat/Act/UF/KP: 61

Lab/Prog/Greens/NZ First/Maori: 60

Which is a different story altogether. Then of course there is the Bill and Ben Party. Which way would they go?

Election Results — Overall Status

Polling Places Counted: 6,304 of 6,304 (100.0%)
Total Votes Counted: 2,103,842
Special Votes: 208,001
Less than 6 votes taken in Polling Places: 1,261
Party Party
Votes
%
Votes
Electorate
Seats
List
Seats
Total
Seats
National Party 951,145 45.45 41 18 59
Labour Party 706,666 33.77 21 22 43
Green Party 134,622 6.43 0 8 8
ACT New Zealand 77,843 3.72 1 4 5
Mäori Party 46,894 2.24 5 0 5
Jim Anderton’s Progressive 19,536 0.93 1 0 1
United Future 18,629 0.89 1 0 1
New Zealand First Party 88,072 4.21 0 0 0
Kiwi Party 11,659 0.56 0 0 0
The Bill and Ben Party 10,738 0.51 0 0 0
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 7,589 0.36 0 0 0
New Zealand Pacific Party 6,991 0.33 0 0 0
Family Party 6,973 0.33 0 0 0
Alliance 1,721 0.08 0 0 0
Democrats for Social Credit 1,112 0.05 0 0 0
Libertarianz 1,070 0.05 0 0 0
Workers Party 824 0.04 0 0 0
RAM – Residents Action Movement 405 0.02 0 0 0
The Republic of New Zealand Party 298 0.01 0 0 0
70 52 122


National win, Douglas is in, I’m looking for a silver lining! by underground

It never feels good when you lose. Every four years New Zealand grieves after yet another All Black World Cup early exit. However this hurts more. Because it actually matters! The only person who risks losing their job after an All Black loss is the coach, whereas more must be a little uncertain now. The environment is going to get shafted, as will workers rights and equality for minorities. But what can you do? The country has spoken, even if no one can really justify their vote for National. “Change” seemed to be all that people wanted, regardless what that might actually mean. Churchill was clearly right when he said the best argument against democracy is talking to the average voter for five minutes, but then he also said it is the best system we’ve got. Times like this it doesn’t feel like the case though. Gone is one of our most competent and experienced Prime Ministers, exchanged for a money trader with no prior interest in politics. Act has grown, taking with them New Zealand’s most hated politician ever into government. It’s going to be hard but I want to look at the silver lining. Continue reading



Happy Election Day New Zealand! by underground

What a lovely sunny day to go out to a polling booth and express your rights democratically! What a joy! Casting my votes I felt privileged not only that I get to vote, a right not extended to all the peoples of this earth, but that we have MMP in this country so I at least get a party vote, as no doubt my candidate vote will be wasted, as I live in conservative Helensville!

If there is anyone out there who doesn’t know who to vote for, particularly if you live in Wigram, please cast your vote for Jim Anderton and the Progressives, who my little brother would vote for if he were old enough, unfortunately he turns 18 on the 13th of this month.

It is a shame that whilst my little bro, who is very interested and knowledgeable in politics, cannot vote, many who do not care or know remarkably little can vote. So to help them with casting their vote, I have constructed a diagram to inform them of what each party stands for. Rather than being based on specific policy, which people clearly ignore, I have placed each party on a continuum through time. So if you are unsure today, cast your vote for your favourite era! Continue reading



One day away from turning our back on all of this! by underground

Although the polls vary on who the next New Zealand government will in fact be, it appears as though the tide is turning on Labour and Helen Clark. Following the election in the US, voters are keen on some of that “change” action. Rather than an Obama-esque “change you can believe in”, it is more like “change for the sake of change”. And it isn’t going to be the sort of change most voters envisage. A National government will need the support of Act, so a change of government is a change in only one direction – Hard right. Remember Roger Douglas? Well he is who National will be buddying up to. Is that the change we need?

Besides, have the past nine years been that bad? Continue reading



Winner of the third Leader’s debate? by underground

Me! (see previous post on second debate.) Considering how uninspiring the first two debates between Clark and Key were, I thankfully did not put myself through the pain of watching a third meaningless encounter between the National and Labour leaders. I had my bum planted on the edge of a seat at North Harbour Stadium watching the highly enthralling under-17 women’s football (highly recommend you get a ticket to a game and see what I mean!). I was probably not alone in watching something else; the US Presidential Election had more entertainment value than our own dull affair.

So what did those that actually tuned in think of the debate? Who cares? I don’t and neither should you. Protest against the crap we are getting from the two major parties and cast your vote for one of the minor parties. Considering the contest is really Tweedledum versus Tweedledee, the minor parties are going to make all the difference.



Winner of the second leader’s debate? Those not watching and those not there. by underground

TV3’s John Campbell did a marginally better job than One’s Mark Sainsbury to keep the debate civil, but Helen Clark and John Key were again intent on talking over each other and providing viewers with ample reason to reach for the remote. For those of us who stayed turned there were moments of entertainment, particularly when Campbell commented that it was unprecedented for two politicians to argue over who was responsible for negotiating such an unpopular law as the repeal of section 59 of the Crimes Act. Witty remarks aside, there was very little substance to the exchanges between the Labour and National leader.

Again analysts are giving the points to Key simply because he didn’t lose. Well he certainly didn’t win either. But Clark’s effort will not slow the momentum National have and after tonight, I fear a National victory may be even closer. Continue reading



Why a Labour/Prog/Greens/Maori coalition has a mandate to govern by underground

A lot has been said about the possibility that Labour could clinch a fourth term even if its vote falls short of National’s. As long as the Greens has a strong showing and the Maori Party, having gained all the Maori seats, decides to join with Labour, the Left could very easily deprive John Key, National and the Right of the government benches. According to polls, a large amount of voters believe the major party with the most votes should form the government as it has the mandate to govern. It is argued that a Labour coalition would not be fulfilling the wish of the people. However this just simply is not the case. If a Labour coalition could claim a majority, then a majority of people want it, not a National government. Continue reading



What does that have to do with the price of milk? by underground

The upcoming election is of course about the economy. That is to be expected. But how bad is the economy really? Are people struggling as much as we are led to believe? The National Party promises a “brighter future”, although only the most naive would believe this package is extended to the greater population. Key will, with the help of Act, take New Zealand back down the path of the eighties and nineties, seeing the rich get richer and the poor poorer. Labour have already improved the finances for most people over the last nine years, repairing the damage of the National party’s anti-worker, anti-family policies of the nineties. Examples of this can be seen in the improvement to employment figures, accessibility to education and the increase of the minimum wage and worker’s rights. Even despite all the economic doom and gloom people have seen more money in their back pocket over the last six months. So is Key being completely honest? Considering he doesn’t know the price of milk, I wouldn’t expect the rich-list National leader to be able to empathise with financial struggle of “middle New Zealand”. I wouldn’t trust him to run down to the dairy for some milk, let alone run the country. Continue reading



Not quite Hollow Men and the Brethren, but it ain’t too different. by underground
October 30, 2008, 6:26 pm
Filed under: New Zealand Election 08, Politics | Tags: , , , , ,

Nicky Hager has written a great article on Pundit on John Key and the National Party. Hardly anything we all didn’t already know and it is not going to slow the momentum of the National Party, but Hager has summed up why I don’t trust John Key and his mates, no matter how well oiled their spin machine is. The old faces are still there and so is the agenda. Throw Act and Roger Douglas into the mix and you get what you vote for.

National are going to have to do a lot more than install a fresh face and steal all Labour’s policies to prove they are anything other than the National Party of the nineties. Gaffes from the likes of Williamson, English and Smith confirm that there is an agenda, although it is not really so well hidden, more ignored.



No surprises for me from Pundit’s election quiz results by underground

I’ve just given Tim Watkin’s election quiz a go, to see who I should be voting for on November 8. Whilst I can see how the quiz could throw up some disturbing results for some people (perhaps those who vote on personality rather than policy), my own result is pretty much spot on. Whether I vote the way the poll says I cannot be sure, I am still a somewhat undecided voter (waiting for the appropriate bribe!), but the parties I am closest to are certainly those I will be choosing between.

Give it a go, you might be surprised!

Apparently I am 85 per cent aligned to the Greens, 84 per cent to the Progressives, and 74 per cent Labour. No surprises there. However of those that I probably would only vote for after being hit by a bus, I have a 66 per cent similarity of beliefs with United Future, 65 with New Zealand First, 44 per cent with National and 28 per cent with Act. To be honest I am surprised there is even that much we have in common.



Key v Clark: First leaders debate. by underground

I had expected John Key to get slaughtered by the far more experienced and capable Clark, but he didn’t do too badly. However considering the opportunities gifted to him, he should have done much better. There were chances for him to put Clark on the back foot, in particular he could have made much more of Labour’s recent student allowance announcement and the apparent hypocrisy of it. Instead Key opted to speak over Clark, repeating slogans and popular terms. He sounded like a poor man’s Obama echoing his “change” motto and became simply irritating when he continued going on about “mum and dad”. Helen Clark was not above meaningless rhetoric, but she certainly knew her arguments and articulated them well. Although Key got some good comments in, Clark arguably had the best calls of the night, when she silenced his constant interruptions and when she nailed him over the Springbok tour. Some of Key’s arguments were a bit of stretch, particularly on Labour’s influence on the economy, considering international factors. I doubt his performance will hurt him, and his supporters will likely disagree with my observations, but I think he could have potentially sown up the election with a more competent performance. Sometimes he came across like a smarmy private school boy, not a leader of a country.



Cullen v Key – Tax cuts to get the cut by underground

Michael Cullen’s announcement yesterday that the books were in a bad shape was seen cynically (although probably rightly) by most as an attempt to undermine John Key’s much hyped to be released tax cut policy. Now in light of the realisation that the country’s coffers are in deficit, Key has scaled back the proposed tax cuts his party will offer. I’ve said it many times on this blog that I don’t really grasp the ins and outs of economic issues, most people don’t, but I cannot help but see Cullen’s announcement as a godsend for Key. National have made great gains against Labour, not by promising impressive detailed policy but by Palinesque sloganeering. For some time National has placed their flagship tax cuts at the forefront of the agenda and following the budget have promised larger tax cuts than those Labour has penned in. And the voters have lapped it all up, despite no details. Now, with the global economy going all 1929 on us, tax cuts of the size people were envisaging from National are not affordable. And Cullen’s little trick gives National every excuse to scale down their proposed tax cuts. And if voters question the quality of the election bribe from the party in the blue corner, National can say it is all Labour’s fault. And the voters will lap it up.



One man poll finds one too many idiots by underground

Although I initially though the Herald’s “One Man Poll” sounded like a massive vox pop (which I can’t stand) in the capable hands of Simon Collins the series was likely to be a success. And he does find some interesting people with interesting views on interesting issues. Collins finds people who do sum up what others are thinking and finds out the thought behind their opinions. Fascinating stuff at times. However, either Collins is drawn to some absolute morons, or New Zealand is a country with a disproportionate number of idiot residents.

Here’s a couple from the last few days. There are many more! Continue reading



Votin is lyk soooo kool! lol! by underground

Austria became the first EU country to drop the voting age to 16, in a move to counteract the influence of the country’s aging population. The new voters will be given their first taste of democracy this weekend, granted the right to vote in the country’s general election, which is forecast to be a close race. The move to allow 16 and 17-year-olds to vote has been controversial and provoked criticism from many who believe the young people do not know enough to vote. Even many young voters do not believe they are ready to participate in democracy.

“I don’t agree with the idea of teenagers of my age being given the right to vote,” said Julia Tauschek, a 16-year-old high school pupil from the Austrian town of Linz yesterday. “We simply don’t know enough about politics and we are not taught much about them at school either.” (From the Independent)

But doesn’t involving young people in the democratic process encourage them to become politically aware? And since when are older people so politically knowledgeable? Are some voters not already suffering from political amnesia when they refer to the ’90s? Continue reading